US Officials: Swine Flu Less Deadly than First Feared

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03 May 2009

U.S. health officials are expressing cautious optimism the virus
causing swine flu A-H1N1 may not be as virulent as initially feared,
but they say aggressive steps to combat the infectious disease are
still warranted.


Days after Mexico suspended public activities to reduce the spread of
swine flu, the country is reporting a leveling off in the rate of new
infections. In the United States, the number of confirmed influenza
cases continues to rise, but most flu sufferers report relatively mild
symptoms, and only one death has been recorded.

This is welcome
news for U.S. health officials, who initially had to consider the
possibility that the new flu strain's impact could mirror the
devastation of the 1918 influenza pandemic that led to tens of millions
of deaths worldwide.

The acting director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control, Richard Besser, spoke on ABC's "This Week" program.

"What
we have found is that we are not seeing the factors that were
associated with the 1918 pandemic. We are not seeing the factors that
were associated with other H1N1 viruses," Besser said.

But, he adds, "I do not think it is time to let our guard down. I think we have to continue in an uncertain situation to be aggressive."

U.S.
officials worry that, even if the virus' spread is eventually
contained, it could re-emerge months from now during the northern
hemisphere's winter flu season, when more than 30,000 Americans
die each year from common influenza.

The Obama administration
says it is laying the groundwork to develop a vaccine against swine
flu, although no decision has been made on large-scale production of
such a vaccine. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius
also appeared on "This Week".

"We
can accelerate the seasonal flu vaccine, which we are doing right now
to be prepared for what we know will hit this fall and winter. At the
same time, we are in the stages of growing the [swine flu] virus,
testing it, and we can be ready to do both [vaccines] simultaneously," Sebelius said.

In
the meantime, the Obama administration is urging common-sense steps to
prevent the spread of swine flu, including frequent hand-washing and
asking flu sufferers to stay at home.

Some critics have accused
the administration of overstating the dangers of swine flu and
unnecessarily alarming the public. Homeland Security Secretary Janet
Napolitano dismisses the charge.

"We
had a new strain of flu. We did not really know that its lethality was
going to be. We did not know how quickly it was going to move. Once
you get behind [the spread of] flu, you cannot catch up. You have to
get ahead of it," said Napolitano.

In an appearance on
"Fox News Sunday," Napolitano again defended the administration's
decision against closing the U.S. border with Mexico, saying it would
incur massive economic costs with no meaningful health benefits, since
swine flu is already spreading in the United States.