"Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced twenty days with below-average temperatures, and local weather forecasters throughout the region predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Based on these developments, we predict a large increase in the demand for heating oil. Therefore, we recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The argument recommends investment in Consolidated industries, one of whose major business operations is retail sale of home heating oil, based on the prediction of local weather forecasters. There are many questions which needs to be answered in order to evaluate the argument. Few of the questions are discussed below.
Firstly, Is the prediction accurate and who made the local weather forecast prediction? Is the prediction made by reputed organization? If the prediction is inaccurate, then it undermines the validity of the recommendation. Local weather forecasters made their prediction based on the fact that the region experienced twenty days with below-average temperatures. They predicted that this weather pattern will continue for several years. They showed no evidence for the prediction. They did not tell whether United States is continually experiencing below-average temperatures in the previous years. So, their prediction does not provide support for the recommendation.
Homes in northeastern United states have traditionally used oil for heating. Secondly, Is there any evidence that most of the people in that region are still using oil as major fuel for heating? If only few people in that region use oil for heating, then it will be waste of money if people invest in Consolidated industries. If there is proper evidence that mostly everyone in that region use oil, then it can provide some support for the recommendation.
Thirdly, Will there be profits if people invest in Consolidated industries although their major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil? For instance, if only few people buy home heating oil from Consolidated industries, then there will be no profits if investment is made in Consolidated industries. If majority of the population use home heating oil for heating and they buy the oil from Consolidated industries, then it provides support for the recommendation.
There are many questions which needs to be answered in order to evaluate the recommendation. If the above few questions are answered, it helps in evaluating the argument. The answers to these questions helps in deciding whether to follow recommendation or not.
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 482, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
... showed no evidence for the prediction. They did not tell whether United States is c...
^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
first, firstly, if, second, secondly, so, still, then, third, thirdly, for instance
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 19.0 19.5258426966 97% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 5.0 12.4196629213 40% => OK
Conjunction : 3.0 14.8657303371 20% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 11.0 11.3162921348 97% => OK
Pronoun: 21.0 33.0505617978 64% => OK
Preposition: 38.0 58.6224719101 65% => OK
Nominalization: 25.0 12.9106741573 194% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1863.0 2235.4752809 83% => OK
No of words: 343.0 442.535393258 78% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.43148688047 5.05705443957 107% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.30351707066 4.55969084622 94% => OK
Word Length SD: 3.20313310822 2.79657885939 115% => OK
Unique words: 145.0 215.323595506 67% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.422740524781 0.4932671777 86% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 594.0 704.065955056 84% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.7 1.59117977528 107% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 5.0 6.24550561798 80% => OK
Article: 2.0 4.99550561798 40% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 3.10617977528 193% => OK
Conjunction: 0.0 1.77640449438 0% => OK
Preposition: 0.0 4.38483146067 0% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 20.2370786517 104% => OK
Sentence length: 16.0 23.0359550562 69% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 41.235840695 60.3974514979 68% => OK
Chars per sentence: 88.7142857143 118.986275619 75% => OK
Words per sentence: 16.3333333333 23.4991977007 70% => OK
Discourse Markers: 3.95238095238 5.21951772744 76% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 4.97078651685 101% => OK
Language errors: 1.0 7.80617977528 13% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 7.0 10.2758426966 68% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 5.13820224719 136% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.83258426966 145% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.323723242755 0.243740707755 133% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.103124759394 0.0831039109588 124% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.105898183585 0.0758088955206 140% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.158737340509 0.150359130593 106% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0960656229544 0.0667264976115 144% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.3 14.1392134831 87% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 46.78 48.8420337079 96% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.92365168539 111% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.1743820225 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 13.92 12.1639044944 114% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.7 8.38706741573 92% => OK
difficult_words: 71.0 100.480337079 71% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 8.0 11.8971910112 67% => OK
gunning_fog: 8.4 11.2143820225 75% => OK
text_standard: 8.0 11.7820224719 68% => The average readability is low. Need to imporve the language.
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.