It might seem logical at the first glance to agree with the mentioned prediction whereby due to the strong commitment of West Eggs' residents to recycling, the available space for waste disposal should last further than the chairman predicted. The author of the assumption relies on less credible assumptions or even unproven predictions to support his/her claim. Before the claim can be properly evaluated, some questions and points must be considered.
Firstly, one problem regarding this claim is the issue of weak correlation. The author of the assumption noted that as the charge for picking up the household waste material will increase, the citizens will recycle their waste more than they did. What if some affluent residents tend to pay further for picking up their garbage instead of attempting to recycle them? In this scenario, doubling the charge for picking up the waste does not affect the residents of West Eggs town and it would not be a strong motivation for wealthy people. This question deserves consideration before any final decision made to increase the charge for waste gathering.
Secondly, when handing survey and statistic data, it is always important to look not only at the results but also at the theoretical framework and methodology of the study being conducted, to be able to ascertain whether the reasoning is sound, or if the scientists have missed some crucial aspect or mitigating factor. The chairman needs to take into consideration how comparable are the demographics of the survey participants to those of the general population of the West Eggs' residents. If the general population is not accurately represented by the survey respondents, then it would become more difficult to support the claim that 90 percent of respondents claim that they will recycle more than past.
Another assumption made by the chairman in his prediction is centered on the idea that some of the parameters of the equation will remain unchanged, namely the fact that producing waste rate does not change and population size is stable. If the population expansion rate were to reveal a drastic increase in the West Eggs' town the amount of garbage would also increase. Representative statistical results should be potentially comparable with the population growth rate.
To conclude, despite the argument suffering from several problems and is unconvincing, we can not absolutely rely on or refute it without pursuing any additional assumptions and reasoning. The author can strengthen the argument by answering the questions above and offering more evidence. without these changes the argument is implausible and reasoning is faulty.
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 8 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 16 15
No. of Words: 424 350
No. of Characters: 2192 1500
No. of Different Words: 219 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.538 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.17 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.802 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 166 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 132 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 99 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 69 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 26.5 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 11.011 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.375 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.318 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.318 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.116 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 4, column 88, Rule ID: SOME_OF_THE[1]
Message: Simply use 'some'.
Suggestion: some
...prediction is centered on the idea that some of the parameters of the equation will remain ...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 4, column 238, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “If” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
...t change and population size is stable. If the population expansion rate were to r...
^^
Line 5, column 290, Rule ID: UPPERCASE_SENTENCE_START
Message: This sentence does not start with an uppercase letter
Suggestion: Without
...tions above and offering more evidence. without these changes the argument is implausib...
^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, firstly, if, look, regarding, second, secondly, so, then
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 17.0 19.6327345309 87% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 14.0 12.9520958084 108% => OK
Conjunction : 14.0 11.1786427146 125% => OK
Relative clauses : 6.0 13.6137724551 44% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 24.0 28.8173652695 83% => OK
Preposition: 56.0 55.5748502994 101% => OK
Nominalization: 21.0 16.3942115768 128% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2231.0 2260.96107784 99% => OK
No of words: 423.0 441.139720559 96% => OK
Chars per words: 5.27423167849 5.12650576532 103% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.53508145475 4.56307096286 99% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.87091287527 2.78398813304 103% => OK
Unique words: 219.0 204.123752495 107% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.517730496454 0.468620217663 110% => OK
syllable_count: 693.0 705.55239521 98% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 4.0 4.96107784431 81% => OK
Article: 6.0 8.76447105788 68% => OK
Subordination: 4.0 2.70958083832 148% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 6.0 4.22255489022 142% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 17.0 19.7664670659 86% => OK
Sentence length: 24.0 22.8473053892 105% => OK
Sentence length SD: 66.4936451422 57.8364921388 115% => OK
Chars per sentence: 131.235294118 119.503703932 110% => OK
Words per sentence: 24.8823529412 23.324526521 107% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.35294117647 5.70786347227 76% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 6.0 8.20758483034 73% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 9.0 6.88822355289 131% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 2.0 4.67664670659 43% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.151082474436 0.218282227539 69% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0486198033992 0.0743258471296 65% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0574735508264 0.0701772020484 82% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0808449595876 0.128457276422 63% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0427953288039 0.0628817314937 68% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 15.8 14.3799401198 110% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 47.12 48.3550499002 97% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 12.7 12.197005988 104% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 13.58 12.5979740519 108% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 9.05 8.32208582834 109% => OK
difficult_words: 113.0 98.500998004 115% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.6 11.1389221557 104% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 83.33 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 5.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.