Although the argument for an increase in demand for heating oil seems to make sense, there are still many questions to answer. This trend may be the correct prediction of the retail sales of home heating oil; however, we should not overestimate the investment process, we should make more efforts in sampling.
First, we must clarify what the assumptions on which the argument depends. For example, although climate forecasters' predictions may seem reasonable, as stated by the argument, weather patterns may last for years; however, we cannot ensure that these customers' responses to the climate match the requirements of the promised investment recommendations. Let us take the example of a new home built in the area. Can we think that the increase in the number of new homes accurately predicts the increase in demand for heating oil? What if these new residents like to use electronic heating equipment and give up old-fashioned heating oil?
If the investment advice is based on false assumptions about growing demand, then this argument is simply unreasonable. Let us judge this suggestion from another point of view and further discuss the concerns described below. The argument points out that the increase in the number of new homes reflects recent population growth, and the trend has led to an increase in demand for heating oil, as the weather for the next year is still very cold; however, anyone can easily find some of these arguments. Defects and some unspecified assumptions. For example, what kind of people are new residents? Maybe they are young people who embrace the latest heating technology, or they are all elders, because this place may be a good place for those who are retired. Second, what if the forecast for population growth or climate forecasters is not accurate? What if these predictions come from wrong assumptions?
In addition, if the government takes some action against extremely low temperatures, saying that each home is provided with some heating equipment, no more customers are suffering from cold weather, and if this happens, how will the investment actually hurt? The main commercial operation, home heating oil, is the worst investment for customers. Can the customer withstand such a crisis if the situation does not meet expectations? If not, what can the customer do?
All in all, we should never overestimate the investment environment because everything will change.
Essay evaluation report
It is a good one.
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Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 20 15
No. of Words: 392 350
No. of Characters: 1978 1500
No. of Different Words: 200 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.45 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.046 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.722 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 144 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 113 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 76 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 51 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 19.6 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 11.821 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.7 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.304 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.499 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.144 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Transition Words or Phrases used:
actually, first, however, if, may, second, so, still, then, for example, in addition, kind of
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 14.0 19.6327345309 71% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 15.0 12.9520958084 116% => OK
Conjunction : 7.0 11.1786427146 63% => OK
Relative clauses : 7.0 13.6137724551 51% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 24.0 28.8173652695 83% => OK
Preposition: 36.0 55.5748502994 65% => OK
Nominalization: 22.0 16.3942115768 134% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2042.0 2260.96107784 90% => OK
No of words: 392.0 441.139720559 89% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.20918367347 5.12650576532 102% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.44960558625 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.82341148905 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 207.0 204.123752495 101% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.52806122449 0.468620217663 113% => OK
syllable_count: 621.0 705.55239521 88% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 2.0 8.76447105788 23% => OK
Subordination: 8.0 2.70958083832 295% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 20.0 19.7664670659 101% => OK
Sentence length: 19.0 22.8473053892 83% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 73.1504613793 57.8364921388 126% => OK
Chars per sentence: 102.1 119.503703932 85% => OK
Words per sentence: 19.6 23.324526521 84% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.65 5.70786347227 81% => OK
Paragraphs: 9.0 5.15768463074 174% => Less paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 0.0 5.25449101796 0% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 5.0 8.20758483034 61% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 9.0 6.88822355289 131% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 6.0 4.67664670659 128% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.14695042279 0.218282227539 67% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0478088045865 0.0743258471296 64% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0541275433867 0.0701772020484 77% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0641985794714 0.128457276422 50% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0513318504662 0.0628817314937 82% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.9 14.3799401198 90% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 52.19 48.3550499002 108% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.94 12.5979740519 103% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.2 8.32208582834 99% => OK
difficult_words: 90.0 98.500998004 91% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 13.5 12.3882235529 109% => OK
gunning_fog: 9.6 11.1389221557 86% => OK
text_standard: 13.0 11.9071856287 109% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Maximum six paragraphs wanted.
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.