The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.
"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulty obtaining reliable supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our popular alpaca overcoat. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should resume production. Given the outcry from our customers when we discontinued this product and the fact that none of our competitors offers a comparable product, we can expect pent-up consumer demand for our alpaca coats. This demand and the overall increase in clothing prices will make Sartorian's alpaca overcoats more profitable than ever before."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
The author of the memo concludes that the Sartorian's alpaca overcoats will be more profitable than ever before if they resume production. The argument is based on unwarranted assumptions. If the assumptions prove invalid, then the argument falls apart.
Firstly, the author of the argument assumes that they can expect pent-up consumer demand for their alpaca overcoats since there was outcry from their customers when they discontinued the product and the fact that none of their competitors offers a comparable product. The author assumes that the demand in the past will be the same today and their previous customers will buy alpaca coats from them if they resume production. For instance, there might be no or less demand for alpaca overcoats presently. This might be the reason why none of their competitors offers a comparable product. If this is the case, then Sartorian's overcoats will be less profitable than before or might produce losses since there is no demand for alpaca coats.
Secondly, the author assumes that they can rely on new fabric supplier for high-quality wool fabric. If the new fabric supplier supplies less-quality wool fabric or if the supply is not reliable, then they cannot be sure that Sartorian's alpaca overcoats will be more profitable than before even there is more demand for alpaca coats. For instance, people may take time to try products from new supplier or people might not be interested to buy the alpaca coats supplied by new fabric supplier since it's quality is not the same as in the past. In this case, Sartorian's alpaca overcoats will be less profitable than before despite high demand for alpaca coats.
Thirdly, the author assumes that they can depend on new fabric supplier for high-quality wool fabric. He assumes that they will not face any difficulty obtaining reliable supplies in future. He assumes that they will not face any issues if they resume production even after five years and the conditions in the past and present are same. The author should provide evidence that Sartorian company can restart the production of alpaca overcoats without any issues for supporting the argument.
The author must provide concrete evidence that the demand for Sartorian's alpaca overcoats is still the same as in the past or more than before. He must also provide evidence that new fabric supplier is reliable for high-quality wool fabric. If the author provides the above evidences, then it supports the argument.
Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 3 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 6 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 405 350
No. of Characters: 2030 1500
No. of Different Words: 143 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.486 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.012 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.497 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 155 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 96 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 73 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 44 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 21.316 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.921 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.737 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.391 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.597 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.181 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 456, Rule ID: NOW[2]
Message: Did you mean 'now' (=at this moment) instead of 'no' (negation)?
Suggestion: now
...roduction. For instance, there might be no or less demand for alpaca overcoats pre...
^^
Line 7, column 181, Rule ID: IN_PAST[1]
Message: Did you mean: 'in the future'?
Suggestion: in the future
... difficulty obtaining reliable supplies in future. He assumes that they will not face any...
^^^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, first, firstly, if, may, second, secondly, so, still, then, third, thirdly, for instance
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 19.0 19.6327345309 97% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 21.0 12.9520958084 162% => OK
Conjunction : 9.0 11.1786427146 81% => OK
Relative clauses : 13.0 13.6137724551 95% => OK
Pronoun: 36.0 28.8173652695 125% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 37.0 55.5748502994 67% => OK
Nominalization: 14.0 16.3942115768 85% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2071.0 2260.96107784 92% => OK
No of words: 405.0 441.139720559 92% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.11358024691 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.48604634366 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.53667625322 2.78398813304 91% => OK
Unique words: 148.0 204.123752495 73% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.365432098765 0.468620217663 78% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 645.3 705.55239521 91% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 4.0 4.96107784431 81% => OK
Article: 8.0 8.76447105788 91% => OK
Subordination: 4.0 2.70958083832 148% => OK
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 21.0 22.8473053892 92% => OK
Sentence length SD: 56.7109109768 57.8364921388 98% => OK
Chars per sentence: 109.0 119.503703932 91% => OK
Words per sentence: 21.3157894737 23.324526521 91% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.94736842105 5.70786347227 87% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 2.0 5.25449101796 38% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 5.0 8.20758483034 61% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 8.0 6.88822355289 116% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 6.0 4.67664670659 128% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.161433204057 0.218282227539 74% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0661655198285 0.0743258471296 89% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0600800698426 0.0701772020484 86% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.103875353474 0.128457276422 81% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0555439706869 0.0628817314937 88% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.3 14.3799401198 92% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 50.16 48.3550499002 104% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.5 12.197005988 94% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.36 12.5979740519 98% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.25 8.32208582834 87% => OK
difficult_words: 66.0 98.500998004 67% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.4 11.1389221557 93% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.