The commercial airline industry in the country of Freedonia has experienced impressive growth in the past three years. This trend will surely continue in the years to come, since the airline industry will benefit from recent changes in Freedonian society: incomes are rising; most employees now receive more vacation time; and interest in travel in rising, as shown by an increase in media attention devoted to foreign cultures and tourist attractions.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The argument that Freedonia’s commercial airline industry will continue to grow may seem logical at first glance. Nevertheless, the author relies on unsupported assumptions about the indicators of a growth in air travelers. Consequently, the argument is fundamentally flawed and unconvincing.
First, the writer establishes no correlation between the increase in incomes or vacation time and the rise in people’s desire to travel. The writer also presumes that emerging tourists would travel via air instead of other methods of transportation. If an organization were to conduct a survey on people who received a raise or more vacation time, and ask whether they made plans to travel in the next twelve months, it would confirm whether the correlation between increase in incomes or vacation time and the rise in people’s desire to travel exists. Additionally, If the author could indeed demonstrate that the emergent travelers are more likely to choose a flight over other modes of transportation, the argument would be considerably more plausible.
Additionally, the writer fails to provide the link between an increase in media attention and a rise in travelling interest. Perhaps companies from the tourist industry observed that people are becoming disinterested in foreign destinations, and the media broadcast was a marketing technique to improve the current situation. Furthermore, an interest in foreign cultures and destinations does not guarantee that people are planning on travelling; they could be simply intrigued by learning about an unfamiliar country overseas. The notion that a rise in travelling interest equates a growth in the tourist industry would be strengthened by answering the question: Are trends revealing an strong interconnection between media attention and the proceeding actions of people? Among the Freedonians with the highest curiosity regarding foreign countries, what percent can afford to travel aboard by air at least once per year? Without ruling out alternative explanations for the growth of media attention in tourism, the argument would not be persuasive.
In conclusion, the writer is not necessarily mistaken in stating that the growing trend in Freedonia’s commercial airline industry will continue. After all, an impressive growth has been observed in the past three years. Nonetheless, to support the assertion that the airline industry will continue to prosper, the author must submit more conclusive evidence that an increase in income, vacation time, and media attention will, in fact, result in greater number of air travellers. Without such substantiation, stakeholders in the commercial airline industry, such as investors, should be skeptical about the prediction that Freedonia’s commercial airline industry will continue to expand.
Comments
Essay evaluation report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.5 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 17 15
No. of Words: 421 350
No. of Characters: 2326 1500
No. of Different Words: 209 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.53 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.525 4.6
Word Length SD: 3.029 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 199 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 153 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 113 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 70 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 24.765 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 10.669 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.765 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.334 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.548 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.05 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 4 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 9, column 1, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Two successive sentences begin with the same adverb. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
...ld be considerably more plausible. Additionally, the writer fails to provide the link b...
^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 9, column 686, Rule ID: EN_A_VS_AN
Message: Use 'a' instead of 'an' if the following word doesn't start with a vowel sound, e.g. 'a sentence', 'a university'
Suggestion: a
...ring the question: Are trends revealing an strong interconnection between media at...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, consequently, first, furthermore, if, may, nevertheless, nonetheless, regarding, so, then, after all, at least, in conclusion, in fact, such as
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 14.0 19.6327345309 71% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 16.0 12.9520958084 124% => OK
Conjunction : 12.0 11.1786427146 107% => OK
Relative clauses : 11.0 13.6137724551 81% => OK
Pronoun: 13.0 28.8173652695 45% => OK
Preposition: 65.0 55.5748502994 117% => OK
Nominalization: 24.0 16.3942115768 146% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2414.0 2260.96107784 107% => OK
No of words: 421.0 441.139720559 95% => OK
Chars per words: 5.73396674584 5.12650576532 112% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.52971130743 4.56307096286 99% => OK
Word Length SD: 3.25809183511 2.78398813304 117% => OK
Unique words: 217.0 204.123752495 106% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.515439429929 0.468620217663 110% => OK
syllable_count: 731.7 705.55239521 104% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.7 1.59920159681 106% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 2.0 4.96107784431 40% => OK
Article: 13.0 8.76447105788 148% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 7.0 4.22255489022 166% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 17.0 19.7664670659 86% => OK
Sentence length: 24.0 22.8473053892 105% => OK
Sentence length SD: 64.790265833 57.8364921388 112% => OK
Chars per sentence: 142.0 119.503703932 119% => OK
Words per sentence: 24.7647058824 23.324526521 106% => OK
Discourse Markers: 8.76470588235 5.70786347227 154% => OK
Paragraphs: 4.0 5.15768463074 78% => More paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 2.0 5.25449101796 38% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 11.0 8.20758483034 134% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 2.0 4.67664670659 43% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.225795208853 0.218282227539 103% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0797001278204 0.0743258471296 107% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0967232825302 0.0701772020484 138% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.16266471634 0.128457276422 127% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.145651324166 0.0628817314937 232% => More connections among paragraphs wanted.
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 17.9 14.3799401198 124% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 38.66 48.3550499002 80% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 13.8 12.197005988 113% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 16.25 12.5979740519 129% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 9.44 8.32208582834 113% => OK
difficult_words: 123.0 98.500998004 125% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 9.0 12.3882235529 73% => OK
gunning_fog: 11.6 11.1389221557 104% => OK
text_standard: 9.0 11.9071856287 76% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 75.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.5 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.