The following appeared in a memorandum from the planning department of an electric power company.
"Several recent surveys indicate that home owners are increasingly eager to conserve energy. At the same time, manufacturers are now marketing many home appliances, such as refrigerators and air conditioners that are almost twice as energy efficient as those sold a decade ago. Also, new technologies for better home insulation and passive solar heating are readily available to reduce the energy needed for home heating. Therefore, the total demand for electricity in our area will not increase — and may decline slightly. Since our three electric generating plants in operation for the past twenty years have always met our needs, construction of new generating plants will not be necessary."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
It is stated in the prompt that, home owners are eager to conserve energy and at the same time new home appliances such as refrigerators, air conditioners are coming in market which consume more energy but at the same time new technology such as battery home insulation and passive solar heating is also available to reduce energy. Consideration of all points new generating plant is not needed. However, before recommendation can properly evaluate some question must be answer.
To begin with, how many people are buying home insulation and passive solar heating as compare to new refrigerators and air conditioners? May be cost of solar heating and home insulation is more so less number of people are buying this technology as compare to refrigerators and air conditioners. Even maintenance cost of solar heating is more than refrigerator. If this happens to be true than sell of refrigerator and air conditioners are more than solar heating and home insulation. Maybe this will result in more power consumption in feature and maybe three electric generating plants in operation from past twenty years will not able to bolster new need and it will become blatant to construct new generation plant to full fill the need.
Moreover, what if population increase? Or what if more people starting moving in that area for better life? Or what if new industry establish in this area? If more people move in or if the population increases it is blatant that they will bring their own electric appliances with them. If new industries come into the picture than it is for sure that it will require lots of electric energy to work. If this happens to be true then consumption of electricity will burgeon. In this case three electric generation plants are not sufficient maybe more than four electric generation plants are needed which will exacerbate the situation.
Finally, what if new technology comes in market which required more energy? As the world is advancing day by day new technology are taking birth to make life of humans easy. If such technology comes in market it will entice more people to buy and it may increase the power consumption. If this happens to be true then conclusion drawn from original argument does not hold any water.
In conclusion, evidence provided is dubious and erroneous. If all above question are answers and more evidences are provided it will strengthen argument.
Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 21 15
No. of Words: 401 350
No. of Characters: 1964 1500
No. of Different Words: 177 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.475 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.898 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.715 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 133 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 96 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 71 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 49 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 19.095 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 11.94 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.762 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.308 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.53 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.12 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 5, column 401, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
...equire lots of electric energy to work. If this happens to be true then consumptio...
^^
Line 5, column 401, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “If” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
...equire lots of electric energy to work. If this happens to be true then consumptio...
^^
Line 7, column 77, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “As” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
...s in market which required more energy? As the world is advancing day by day new t...
^^
Line 7, column 287, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[1]
Message: “If” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
... it may increase the power consumption. If this happens to be true then conclusion...
^^
Line 7, column 384, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...ginal argument does not hold any water. In conclusion, evidence provided is dubi...
^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, finally, however, if, may, moreover, so, then, in conclusion, such as, to begin with
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 24.0 19.6327345309 122% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 15.0 12.9520958084 116% => OK
Conjunction : 17.0 11.1786427146 152% => OK
Relative clauses : 7.0 13.6137724551 51% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 22.0 28.8173652695 76% => OK
Preposition: 45.0 55.5748502994 81% => OK
Nominalization: 22.0 16.3942115768 134% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2010.0 2260.96107784 89% => OK
No of words: 401.0 441.139720559 91% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.01246882793 5.12650576532 98% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.47492842339 4.56307096286 98% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.78783362904 2.78398813304 100% => OK
Unique words: 186.0 204.123752495 91% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.463840399002 0.468620217663 99% => OK
syllable_count: 650.7 705.55239521 92% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 1.0 4.96107784431 20% => OK
Article: 0.0 8.76447105788 0% => OK
Subordination: 9.0 2.70958083832 332% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 2.0 1.67365269461 119% => OK
Preposition: 4.0 4.22255489022 95% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 19.7664670659 106% => OK
Sentence length: 19.0 22.8473053892 83% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 68.2959081187 57.8364921388 118% => OK
Chars per sentence: 95.7142857143 119.503703932 80% => OK
Words per sentence: 19.0952380952 23.324526521 82% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.52380952381 5.70786347227 79% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 5.0 5.25449101796 95% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 12.0 8.20758483034 146% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 2.0 6.88822355289 29% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.67664670659 150% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.15492689171 0.218282227539 71% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0435139685657 0.0743258471296 59% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.062833335211 0.0701772020484 90% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0916254399726 0.128457276422 71% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0794751877155 0.0628817314937 126% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 11.7 14.3799401198 81% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 52.19 48.3550499002 108% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.78 12.5979740519 94% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 7.77 8.32208582834 93% => OK
difficult_words: 81.0 98.500998004 82% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 15.5 12.3882235529 125% => OK
gunning_fog: 9.6 11.1389221557 86% => OK
text_standard: 12.0 11.9071856287 101% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
---------------------
Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.