"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
A letter from firm providing investments predicts an increased demand for heating oil in northeastern states of United States where winters are typically cold. Therefore they advice their clients to invest in Consolidated industries which are meant for retail sale of home heating oil. The argument is further supported by providing evidence of last heating season which ended for 90 days and this pattern of whether will continue to show up for next few years. Even though the argument seems to persuading while were read it in a facile way. The in-depth analysis reveal several loop holes and flaws in the letter.
First of all, argument is fallacious by making a unjustified assumption that due to increase in cold weather, northeastern america need more heating oil for coming years. There is no evidence provided which supports this statement. The residents may shift to other form of heat generating techniques rather than using same old oil heating method. As the climate forecast predicts about increase in the cold weather for coming years, people may think of buying some automated devices which work on electricity to prevent themselves from cold weather. In addition to that, the recent population growth and increase in new homes built will not support the argument here because due to increase in population it may also possible to come up with more convincing ideas which are helpful and less painful compared to heating oils.
Secondly, Even if the heating oil method is the only way for northeastern people to fight cold, we cannot conclude that Consolidation Industries are the best suppliers. This statement in argument needs some more evidence regarding why Consolidation industries caters exclusively for north eastern states of US. It may be possible that these industries are supplying oil to other parts of the country. Their may be local industries in north eastern US where people are more fond of buying heating oil. In addition to that, the author must also consider whether cost of heating oil from consolidation industries is feasible for people to buy. It is also possible that oil developed by Consolidation industries is used by industries and factories as compared to homes. These factors are very essentially need to be considered before investing into Consolidation Industries.
Finally, I would suggest that couple of evidence provided by the statement are not sufficient to wind up the discussion. They need to investigate further on what are the requirements of northeastern regions, and take necessary actions with respect to it. The increase of investing in Consolidation Industries need more digging with respect cost, area of supply etc. Hence, I conclude that reference drown by arguer is fallacious at-least with additional evidence to support it.
Comments
Essay evaluation report
argument 1 -- OK
argument 2 -- OK
argument 3 -- ???
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minimum 3 arguments wanted.
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Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 20 15
No. of Words: 449 350
No. of Characters: 2310 1500
No. of Different Words: 226 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.603 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.145 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.802 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 174 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 139 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 99 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 62 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 22.45 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.547 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.75 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.313 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.502 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.099 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 4 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 161, Rule ID: SENT_START_CONJUNCTIVE_LINKING_ADVERB_COMMA[1]
Message: Did you forget a comma after a conjunctive/linking adverb?
Suggestion: Therefore,
...tates where winters are typically cold. Therefore they advice their clients to invest in ...
^^^^^^^^^
Line 1, column 176, Rule ID: ADVICE_ADVISE[1]
Message: Did you mean 'advise' (verb) instead of advice (noun)?
Suggestion: advise
...ters are typically cold. Therefore they advice their clients to invest in Consolidated...
^^^^^^
Line 1, column 463, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[2]
Message: “Even though” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
...continue to show up for next few years. Even though the argument seems to persuading while ...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 1, column 527, Rule ID: IN_A_X_MANNER[1]
Message: Consider replacing "in a facile way" with adverb for "facile"; eg, "in a hasty manner" with "hastily".
... seems to persuading while were read it in a facile way. The in-depth analysis reveal several l...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 4, column 48, Rule ID: EN_A_VS_AN
Message: Use 'an' instead of 'a' if the following word starts with a vowel sound, e.g. 'an article', 'an hour'
Suggestion: an
...f all, argument is fallacious by making a unjustified assumption that due to incr...
^
Line 7, column 610, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...eating oil from consolidation industries is feasible for people to buy. It is als...
^^
Line 7, column 698, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...ible that oil developed by Consolidation industries is used by industries and fac...
^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, finally, first, hence, if, may, regarding, second, secondly, so, therefore, while, in addition, first of all, with respect to
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 21.0 19.6327345309 107% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 14.0 12.9520958084 108% => OK
Conjunction : 6.0 11.1786427146 54% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 15.0 13.6137724551 110% => OK
Pronoun: 29.0 28.8173652695 101% => OK
Preposition: 70.0 55.5748502994 126% => OK
Nominalization: 25.0 16.3942115768 152% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2357.0 2260.96107784 104% => OK
No of words: 449.0 441.139720559 102% => OK
Chars per words: 5.24944320713 5.12650576532 102% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.60321845022 4.56307096286 101% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.81638318169 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 230.0 204.123752495 113% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.512249443207 0.468620217663 109% => OK
syllable_count: 729.0 705.55239521 103% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 9.0 4.96107784431 181% => OK
Article: 7.0 8.76447105788 80% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 2.0 4.22255489022 47% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 19.7664670659 106% => OK
Sentence length: 21.0 22.8473053892 92% => OK
Sentence length SD: 47.4235988979 57.8364921388 82% => OK
Chars per sentence: 112.238095238 119.503703932 94% => OK
Words per sentence: 21.380952381 23.324526521 92% => OK
Discourse Markers: 6.2380952381 5.70786347227 109% => OK
Paragraphs: 4.0 5.15768463074 78% => More paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 7.0 5.25449101796 133% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 5.0 6.88822355289 73% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 8.0 4.67664670659 171% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.202502021752 0.218282227539 93% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0613601635969 0.0743258471296 83% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0548744915464 0.0701772020484 78% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.126126149646 0.128457276422 98% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0633283730062 0.0628817314937 101% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 14.0 14.3799401198 97% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 50.16 48.3550499002 104% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.5 12.197005988 94% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 13.17 12.5979740519 105% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.27 8.32208582834 99% => OK
difficult_words: 102.0 98.500998004 104% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 10.5 12.3882235529 85% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.4 11.1389221557 93% => OK
text_standard: 14.0 11.9071856287 118% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 75.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.5 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.