The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The given argument has falsely concluded that if the proposed measure is passed it will lead to an increase in housing prices of the Maple County. This argument has taken into consideration several assumptions and has spuriously based the conclusion on it.
Firstly, the concern of the council that the restriction on the development of the existing farmland would increase the prices is based on two real examples where the implementation has taken. The number of people living in the county has not been given and it has been assumed that the number of people will either remain the same or increase in the future. Further, the assumption that only restricting the development will affect the prices is false. There can be several other factors in play like the demand of the housing, the weather conditions, the stock market prices and the quality of housing construction provided there.
Secondly, the fact the proponents of the measure are giving is based on some other county. Therefore, what was suitable in the county may not be appropriate for this county. Also, the results are ten years older so it leaves significant space for them to get changed over these several years. The same policy when implemented now in that county might work out differently. It could be possible that Chestnut county before ten years did not have a strong economy as opposed to the economy of Maple County.
Thirdly, the belief of the opponents in what happened to Pine County when it adopted the same restrictions fifteen years ago is very weakly held. It is given that the restriction was only posed on residential housing and no information is provided for the commercial housing. Also, the results are fifteen years old and the county is different so what was witnessed there may not be seen currently in the Maple county.
In both instances, no information is provided about the support of the government through financial means. It could be possible that of Chestnut County was able to give a significant amount of support to the housing companies whereas the council of Pine county failed in doing so. Whatever may be the reason for those counties, no data is given of the measures which the Council of Maple county will take in order to face this situation.
Finally, the conclusion is very vague since it cannot be corroborated with any statistical data. Only if appropriate knowledge of the factors which can affect Maple county currently would be known instead of relying on what happened to other counties then the integrity of the conclusion could be known.
Comments
Essay evaluation report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 433 350
No. of Characters: 2092 1500
No. of Different Words: 196 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.562 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.831 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.595 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 150 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 107 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 67 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 43 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 22.789 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 6.902 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.579 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.324 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.586 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.065 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 6 5
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, finally, first, firstly, if, may, second, secondly, so, then, therefore, third, thirdly, whereas
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 29.0 19.6327345309 148% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 16.0 12.9520958084 124% => OK
Conjunction : 6.0 11.1786427146 54% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 13.0 13.6137724551 95% => OK
Pronoun: 23.0 28.8173652695 80% => OK
Preposition: 53.0 55.5748502994 95% => OK
Nominalization: 14.0 16.3942115768 85% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2144.0 2260.96107784 95% => OK
No of words: 433.0 441.139720559 98% => OK
Chars per words: 4.95150115473 5.12650576532 97% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.56165014514 4.56307096286 100% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.6452825661 2.78398813304 95% => OK
Unique words: 199.0 204.123752495 97% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.459584295612 0.468620217663 98% => OK
syllable_count: 666.0 705.55239521 94% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 4.0 4.96107784431 81% => OK
Article: 12.0 8.76447105788 137% => OK
Subordination: 0.0 2.70958083832 0% => More adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 22.0 22.8473053892 96% => OK
Sentence length SD: 37.1219447384 57.8364921388 64% => OK
Chars per sentence: 112.842105263 119.503703932 94% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.7894736842 23.324526521 98% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.36842105263 5.70786347227 94% => OK
Paragraphs: 6.0 5.15768463074 116% => OK
Language errors: 0.0 5.25449101796 0% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 8.0 8.20758483034 97% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 8.0 6.88822355289 116% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.210080850439 0.218282227539 96% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0632219931732 0.0743258471296 85% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0584230091478 0.0701772020484 83% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.103122847836 0.128457276422 80% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0290233283332 0.0628817314937 46% => Paragraphs are similar to each other. Some content may get duplicated or it is not exactly right on the topic.
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.3 14.3799401198 92% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 57.61 48.3550499002 119% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.73 12.5979740519 93% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.08 8.32208582834 97% => OK
difficult_words: 92.0 98.500998004 93% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 13.5 12.3882235529 109% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.8 11.1389221557 97% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.