A recent sales study indicates that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent during the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants whose specialty is seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about healthful eating. Therefore, the new Captain Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood should be quite popular and profitable.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The arguer of the above given prompt predicts that the new Captain Seafood restaurant, that specializes in seafood, will be a popular and a profitable venture in Bay City. The arguer has backed such a prediction with the help of a few evidences that he has mentioned in the above prompt. The evidences provided seem convincing when we glance through them for the first time, but a closer look might unearth a few possible fallacies in these evidences that might undermine the arguer's prediction.
Firstly the arguer states that there has been a thirty-percent increase in the consumption of seafood at Bay City restaurants. Thirty-percent is a dubious stat because thrity-percent can signify an increase by a hundred dishes or an increase by a million dishes. If it is the latter, then the arguer's prediction holds substance, but if it is the former, it does not provide much support to the arguer's prediciton. An increase in consumption by just a hundred dishes does not necessarily warrant that the new seafood restaurant, opening in Bay City will be a successful and a profitable venture. It might even be the case that the restaurant is facing losses as a result of the arguer's dubious stats. Until an absolute value is provided, the resturant's success would be questionable.
Secondly, the arguer states that the people of Bay City are more concerned about healthful eating, as a result they will approach the new Captain Seafood restaurant for eating healthy food. The arguer further bolsters his evidence by citing a nationwide study which states that majority of families in Bay City eat significantly fewer home cooked meals. As a result, the restaurant will certainly be a success. The arguer contradicts his own prediction by stating that people of Bay City have a penchant for healthful eating. If this is the case, the citizens of Bay City might not prefer going to a new restaurant since they will not be aware of the way, the food is cooked at Captain Seafood. On the contrary, they will visit the restaurants, whose style of cooking they are accustomed to. This would mean the new seafood restaurant might possibly be a popular establishment.
Lastly, the arguer provides evidence that Bay City has currently no restaurants that specialize in seafood and hence, this new restaurant will have no potential competitors and it will perform well and attract customers. Such an opinion, held by the author seems true, but the author fails to consider this contradicting possibility. What if there are no restaurants in Bay City that solely specialize in seafood because the citizens do not prefer such restaurants? It could be possible that the citizens of Bay City prefer a restaurant which provides sea food apart from various other cuisines. Such a situation could undermine the arguer's prediciton regarding Captain Seafood's success.
In sum, the arguer has provided dubious and erroneous evidences that point towards a myriad possibilities regarding the restaurant's success. Hence, it cannot be categorically stated if opening a restaurant in Bay City, specializing solely in seafood, would be a successful and a profitable venture.
Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 23 15
No. of Words: 517 350
No. of Characters: 2589 1500
No. of Different Words: 216 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.768 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.008 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.892 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 198 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 153 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 104 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 71 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 22.478 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.058 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.652 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.345 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.518 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.091 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 289, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
...t he has mentioned in the above prompt. The evidences provided seem convincing when...
^^^
Line 1, column 477, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[2]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'arguers'' or 'arguer's'?
Suggestion: arguers'; arguer's
...hese evidences that might undermine the arguers prediction. Firstly the arguer state...
^^^^^^^
Line 3, column 294, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'arguers'' or 'arguer's'?
Suggestion: arguers'; arguer's
...n dishes. If it is the latter, then the arguers prediction holds substance, but if it i...
^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 836, Rule ID: MIGHT_PERHAPS[1]
Message: Use simply 'might', 'possibly'.
Suggestion: might; possibly
...s would mean the new seafood restaurant might possibly be a popular establishment. Lastly, ...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 836, Rule ID: MAY_COULD_POSSIBLY[1]
Message: Use simply 'might'.
Suggestion: might
...s would mean the new seafood restaurant might possibly be a popular establishment. Lastly, ...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 9, column 93, Rule ID: A_PLURAL[2]
Message: Don't use indefinite articles with plural words. Did you mean 'possibility'?
Suggestion: possibility
...s evidences that point towards a myriad possibilities regarding the restaurants success. Henc...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 9, column 121, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[2]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'restaurants'' or 'restaurant's'?
Suggestion: restaurants'; restaurant's
...ds a myriad possibilities regarding the restaurants success. Hence, it cannot be categorica...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
but, first, firstly, hence, if, lastly, look, regarding, second, secondly, so, then, well, apart from, as a result, on the contrary
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 21.0 19.6327345309 107% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 20.0 12.9520958084 154% => OK
Conjunction : 11.0 11.1786427146 98% => OK
Relative clauses : 19.0 13.6137724551 140% => OK
Pronoun: 36.0 28.8173652695 125% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 48.0 55.5748502994 86% => OK
Nominalization: 11.0 16.3942115768 67% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2643.0 2260.96107784 117% => OK
No of words: 517.0 441.139720559 117% => OK
Chars per words: 5.11218568665 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.76839952204 4.56307096286 104% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.94849009247 2.78398813304 106% => OK
Unique words: 225.0 204.123752495 110% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.435203094778 0.468620217663 93% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 810.9 705.55239521 115% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 8.0 4.96107784431 161% => OK
Article: 13.0 8.76447105788 148% => OK
Subordination: 5.0 2.70958083832 185% => OK
Conjunction: 3.0 1.67365269461 179% => OK
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 23.0 19.7664670659 116% => OK
Sentence length: 22.0 22.8473053892 96% => OK
Sentence length SD: 41.0264334541 57.8364921388 71% => OK
Chars per sentence: 114.913043478 119.503703932 96% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.4782608696 23.324526521 96% => OK
Discourse Markers: 5.69565217391 5.70786347227 100% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 7.0 5.25449101796 133% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 10.0 8.20758483034 122% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 10.0 6.88822355289 145% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.273607577245 0.218282227539 125% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0961047095588 0.0743258471296 129% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0785166421483 0.0701772020484 112% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.164426072332 0.128457276422 128% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0738593125412 0.0628817314937 117% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.9 14.3799401198 97% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 49.15 48.3550499002 102% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 11.9 12.197005988 98% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.65 12.5979740519 100% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.27 8.32208582834 99% => OK
difficult_words: 116.0 98.500998004 118% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 14.0 12.3882235529 113% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.8 11.1389221557 97% => OK
text_standard: 14.0 11.9071856287 118% => OK
What are above readability scores?
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Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.